The uncertain future
What does it look like when robots and coding agents can do...most everything?
I just read a series of tweets of some of the brightest minds in tech. The future is uncertain.
Best Engineers see the endgame
The day of software engineers is coming to an end. (Node JS creator)
Railway CEO went to eat a burrito and came back to see a 5yo idea solved in that time
Redis creator is coding with AI
A creator of Tesla’s AI and early guy at OpenAI feels behind
Claude code creator hasn’t looked ar an IDE in a month
Ryan Carson says he feels fomo that he should be having 100 agents running at a time
Geoff Huntley knows thay software will be instantly replicable, he’s building for it. His software already self heals as it vibe codes.
Steve Yagge’s building for agents with long term memory, and agents that can build anything. He’s prioritizing this above all else.
People wanting $20k per month AI plans for software engineers (cheaper than a human SWE)
The day the subsidized AI subs end, innovation will only be affordable to the rich again. The tech community is being sold fentanyl at a discount.
A political comment on the neo-feudalist society. The race isn’t for nukes. It’s for copyable intelligence (robots running on intelligence).
What billionaires need
Billionaires are selling AI right now as “what you can do!” When really its, “buy now, give us more training data, and we’ll get better and better at any task you ask us to do”.
Google started as organizing the workld’s information. Now they’re answering all of your workflows. They’re organizing the world’s business problems and solving them one by one. they’ll have the data to know your systems in and out, better than you will.
Robots are clonable. Why would a General Contractor hire a human who will sue them? They’ll hire a robot they can just kick off the roof when it gets tired. Worker’s comp? Just buy a new $20k robot.
What can Elon do with $1T in assets? Buy every farm in the US? Deploy Tesla Farms robots. Have omniscient robots scowering the fields, collecting data, and sending it back to the mothership. If not Elon, then BlacRock and Vanguard.
If the billionaires don’t need California that made them rich, then why do they need us? Billionaires turn out to be a savvy sort of individuals. Not surprisingly, they’re self preserving:
The Empire is forming?
Even if this is sci-fi, it brings an interesting question of: if drones are currently doing swarm storms for NYE lightshows, why couldn’t they be capable of this?
I mean…they did it. So it happened somehow:
Power is concentrating
This is an odd shift. Power is concentrating back to the geniuses and operators who were forced to delegate it away. And they’re going to be able to do things without teams and without dissent or training or internal politics.
To finish the point, I wrote this blog on my phone on an app I coded this weekend for $20 that replaced an app I’ve been using for 2 years. And it I published it to a blog I made last weekend.
Things are moving fast. Power is concentrating. Soon the rich will be the ones who can afford the future. I don’t mean to be bleak, I’m just trying to figure out how this all works out. Plebes have always had the numbers on their side, so there’s that.
The future is already here — it’s just not evenly distributed (William Gibson, Neuromancer, 1984)
The race is on. Are you running it?
Other Ideas